Anybody that hoped Barnet would make a swift return to the Football League has been well and truly disappointed this season, as the Bees have failed to perform since stepping down to the National League. As things stand, Tuesday’s hosts, who are now without a win in the previous four clashes, currently sit just four points above the relegation zone.
When Barnet was last in action in the National League, they were unlucky. Despite drawing 1:1 at home against Halifax Town. Darren Currie’s squad performed well, so much so that they really ought to have come away with all three points, or at least that’s what their expected goal difference of +2.12 suggests. Frankly, a repeat performance would likely see the hosts regain the winning thread, though delivering something of a similar level won’t be easy against a very strong Harrogate side, who's currently 24 points ahead of Barnet in the standing.
One of Barnet’s big problems this season has been failing to make their home games pay. Actually, they have lost more than they have won at The Hive, while they have also conceded more than they have scored. Moreover, their home record against teams that currently reside in the top ten makes for poor reading, as they’ve lost five, drawn one and won one.
What is more, Harrogate comes into this game having won each of their last three visits. A repeat of their most recent travelling effort, whereby they battered Braintree by four goals to nil, achieving an expected goal difference of +3.07 would surely see them get a positive result in this event
We are backing the visitors, who currently sit first in the standings, to prove that the league table is right makes plenty of sense. On this basis, it is easy to feel that they ought to be warmer favourites and thus a small bet on them to win is the way to go.
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